Bergisch Gladbach vs Pesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
16º
6º
26
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VFL
4 - 1
BER
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BER
3 - 1
SPF
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 0
BER
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BER
1 - 2
H05
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
0 - 0
BER
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PES
1 - 3
WEG
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VFL
2 - 2
PES
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PES
0 - 4
KON
21%
19%
60%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
PES
0 - 2
BFR
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
2 - 1
PES
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |