Bergisch Gladbach vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
13º
3º
2
7º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 66 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 59 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 54 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 46 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 45 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 41 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 41 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 36 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 36 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 31 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 29 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 28 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 28 |
16º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BER
3 - 2
SPV
66%
19%
16%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPF
0 - 4
BER
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
VFL
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
BER
16%
22%
62%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 1
BER
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FVE
3 - 1
H05
38%
22%
39%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
H05
0 - 6
SIE
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HUR
0 - 0
H05
30%
22%
47%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
H05
1 - 1
PES
40%
23%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 0
H05
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |