Bergisch Gladbach vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
16º
6º
68
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
0 - 0
BER
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
HUR
71%
17%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SVE
1 - 1
BER
21%
20%
60%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BER
3 - 0
WEG
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
KON
0 - 2
BER
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPF
2 - 0
H05
23%
21%
56%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
H05
5 - 1
VIA
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
H05
2 - 0
PES
72%
16%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
5 - 1
H05
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
H05
2 - 0
HUR
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |