Bergisch Gladbach vs Germania Teveren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
6º
5º
18
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
KON
2 - 0
BER
28%
21%
51%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
SVE
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
H05
0 - 1
BER
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BER
3 - 1
BSC
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 0
BER
15%
19%
66%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Germania Teveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GET
1 - 3
SIE
27%
23%
51%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VFL
7 - 1
GET
91%
7%
3%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GET
1 - 2
SCF
15%
17%
68%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 0
GET
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GET
0 - 2
HUR
42%
22%
37%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |