Bergisch Gladbach vs Alfter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
BWF
3 - 3
BER
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BER
3 - 0
H05
50%
23%
28%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
VFL
0 - 4
BER
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
SPF
1 - 5
BER
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 1
BER
18%
19%
64%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
ALT
2 - 0
MER
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SPF
2 - 0
ALT
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 1
SIE
37%
24%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BFR
2 - 1
ALT
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
HUR
3 - 0
ALT
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |