Bergheim vs UFC Hallein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 5
BER
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
BER
6 - 0
ALT
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
ZEL
3 - 1
BER
32%
22%
47%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
TSV
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
BER
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UFC Hallein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
BIS
39%
23%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
WAL
1 - 0
UNI
82%
11%
6%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
BUR
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
STR
1 - 0
UNI
79%
13%
9%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
GOL
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |