Bergheim vs TSV Neumarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
56%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
14º
14º
35
2º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BER
3 - 2
SIE
30%
21%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SKA
3 - 1
BER
71%
16%
12%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BER
5 - 2
ALT
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 0
BER
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
SAL
48%
21%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Neumarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
TSV
2 - 1
SKA
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 3
TSV
12%
17%
71%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
TSV
2 - 2
BUR
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 2
TSV
20%
19%
60%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
TSV
0 - 3
USC
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |