Bergheim vs Austria Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 2
BER
48%
21%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
KUC
3 - 1
BER
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BER
1 - 3
USC
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
HAL
0 - 2
BER
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
BER
2 - 0
SAL
30%
24%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Austria Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
SVA
2 - 0
KUC
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
USC
1 - 1
SVA
52%
20%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SVA
6 - 0
HAL
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 1
SVA
19%
20%
62%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
SVA
2 - 2
SKS
86%
9%
4%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |