Bergheim vs Puch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BER
0 - 1
UNI
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ANI
4 - 0
BER
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
BER
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
BER
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BER
1 - 1
ZEL
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PUC
2 - 2
ZEL
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
HAL
0 - 3
PUC
35%
24%
42%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
PUC
0 - 2
KUC
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
WAL
3 - 0
PUC
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PUC
0 - 3
GRO
36%
24%
41%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |