Bergheim vs Berndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BIS
2 - 0
BER
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
WAL
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 1
BER
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
STR
44%
24%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 2
BER
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Berndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BER
0 - 0
ALT
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BIS
3 - 1
BER
69%
18%
14%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
ZEL
24%
22%
55%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
WAL
4 - 1
BER
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
TSV
13%
16%
71%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |