Bergheim vs Hürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
56.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
GEW
1 - 1
BER
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
HUR
0 - 3
SCB
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
HIL
4 - 0
HUR
62%
20%
19%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
HUR
1 - 1
AAA
23%
23%
54%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
HUR
0 - 3
WES
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
HUR
1 - 2
HEW
54%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |