Bergheim vs Germania Erftstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
BER
0 - 1
SCB
28%
23%
50%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
ALT
1 - 0
BER
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BER
0 - 1
HEW
30%
22%
47%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BFR
3 - 0
BER
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BER
2 - 2
VIA
12%
18%
70%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
EUR
1 - 1
GER
85%
11%
5%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GER
1 - 1
SCB
31%
23%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
WEG
4 - 0
GER
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GER
1 - 4
ALT
14%
18%
69%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
EIL
1 - 1
GER
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |