Bergerac vs Trelissac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
13º
3º
44
1º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STA
1 - 2
BER
20%
27%
54%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
ROM
56%
26%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
LES
1 - 1
BER
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
BOU
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
VIE
2 - 1
BER
12%
23%
65%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Trelissac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ROM
2 - 0
TRE
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 0
BOU
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AND
1 - 0
TRE
64%
22%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TRE
4 - 1
LOR
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NAN
0 - 2
TRE
38%
28%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |