Bergerac vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
HYE
0 - 0
BER
31%
28%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BER
2 - 1
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BER
1 - 1
PAU
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BER
1 - 1
FRE
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
BER
2 - 0
MGG
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
TAR
0 - 4
MON
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MGG
2 - 1
TAR
66%
19%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SÈT
2 - 2
TAR
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 0
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
TAR
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |