Bergerac vs Stade Bordelais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
13º
3º
29
6º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 4
BER
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
LES
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BOU
0 - 0
BER
24%
27%
49%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
BER
2 - 0
AND
52%
27%
21%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ANG
0 - 2
BER
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Bordelais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
STA
0 - 2
LES
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIE
2 - 1
STA
20%
23%
57%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
STA
1 - 0
YZE
39%
28%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
STA
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
STA
1 - 2
SAU
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |