Bergerac vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
12º
4º
34
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MON
0 - 4
BER
11%
19%
69%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ROM
2 - 1
BER
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
LRO
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
STP
4 - 0
BER
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BER
2 - 0
ANG
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
SAU
10%
18%
72%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 1
TRE
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GOB
3 - 1
SAU
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAU
3 - 1
ANG
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAU
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |