Bergerac vs Orléans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
69.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BER
1 - 0
STA
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
BER
2 - 1
NIO
11%
20%
69%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
TRE
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
BER
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
USS
1 - 3
BER
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Orléans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
AUX
3 - 0
ORL
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
ORL
0 - 1
MET
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ORL
3 - 2
LAI
84%
12%
4%
|
60 | 17 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
BEZ
1 - 2
ORL
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
ORL
1 - 2
PSG
8%
15%
77%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | -1 |