Bergerac vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
ANG
0 - 1
BER
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BER
4 - 0
STA
64%
20%
15%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BER
2 - 1
ANG
64%
22%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
BER
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CRF
0 - 3
BER
37%
29%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MET
4 - 1
LOR
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MON
4 - 0
MET
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
MET
1 - 3
MPL
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 1
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MET
3 - 3
GIR
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |