Bergerac vs Lormont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
BER
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BER
0 - 1
NIM
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 1
BER
30%
26%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SAI
2 - 2
BER
27%
26%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
AUR
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 2
LOR
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 0
NAR
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 5
STA
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -2 |