Bergerac vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
20.3%
71.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BER
1 - 0
MAN
62%
22%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PSG
2 - 1
BER
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BER
0 - 0
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SAI
2 - 1
BER
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
BER
2 - 0
LEN
9%
16%
75%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LIL
2 - 3
GIR
36%
27%
36%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 1
LIL
24%
29%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 2
ANG
57%
26%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
PSG
2 - 1
LIL
77%
16%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LIL
0 - 1
LOR
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |