Bergerac vs Jura Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
16º
6º
11
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
8 | 53 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 50 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 49 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 49 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 48 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 48 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 43 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 39 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 39 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 39 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 37 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 30 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 29 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13.5% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LPV
4 - 0
BER
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
STA
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BLO
0 - 2
BER
32%
26%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
AVO
72%
18%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Jura Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
JUR
2 - 0
IST
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 0
JUR
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 2
JUR
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
JUR
3 - 1
BOU
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 4
JUR
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |