Bergerac vs Jura Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
16º
11º
19
2º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
25 | 55 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 48 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 43 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 42 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 42 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 35 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 34 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 34 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 70% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
23% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LPV
4 - 0
BER
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
STA
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BLO
0 - 2
BER
32%
26%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
AVO
72%
18%
9%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Jura Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
JUR
2 - 0
IST
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 0
JUR
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 2
JUR
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
JUR
3 - 1
BOU
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 4
JUR
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |