Bergerac vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 1
BER
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
FON
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
GDB
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ROM
5 - 0
BER
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 3
BER
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
VOL
4 - 0
FLE
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CON
3 - 2
FLE
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
FLE
1 - 3
TRE
48%
27%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FLE
3 - 1
CHO
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LOR
0 - 2
FLE
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |