Bergerac vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
STA
50%
27%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 0
BER
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BER
1 - 0
SAI
28%
26%
45%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NAN
5 - 1
BER
32%
26%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
CON
30%
29%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
STA
2 - 0
CHO
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 0
GDB
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 1
CHO
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 1
ROM
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |