Bergerac vs Aviron Bayonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ROD
0 - 1
BER
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BER
1 - 0
AUR
42%
26%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LEG
0 - 1
BER
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BER
2 - 1
ALB
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SAI
0 - 1
BER
39%
26%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 1
MON
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ROD
1 - 0
BAY
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 0
LIM
42%
26%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 1
BAY
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 2
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |