Bergedorf 85 vs TSV Sasel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergedorf 85
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
OST
1 - 2
BER
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BER
1 - 1
EIN
47%
24%
30%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MEI
2 - 3
BER
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BER
1 - 0
GER
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
BER
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SAS
3 - 3
NIE
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
OST
3 - 0
SAS
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 2
VIE
73%
17%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
EIN
2 - 0
SAS
53%
22%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 3
CON
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |