Bergedorf 85 vs Rugenbergen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergedorf 85
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 0
BER
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BER
0 - 2
MEI
63%
20%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SVL
5 - 1
BER
26%
22%
51%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BER
1 - 4
CUR
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -3 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
NIE
2 - 1
BER
33%
23%
43%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
RUG
1 - 3
GER
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
RUG
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
RUG
1 - 0
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
RUG
3 - 1
HAL
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
RUG
42%
25%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |