Bergedorf 85 vs Paloma Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergedorf 85
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CUR
4 - 3
BER
40%
23%
38%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BER
4 - 1
PIN
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
VHG
2 - 1
BER
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BER
4 - 1
NIE
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
VIE
2 - 4
BER
16%
19%
66%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Paloma Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
OST
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
EIN
3 - 0
PAL
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
MEI
18%
24%
58%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GER
1 - 0
PAL
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 3
VHG
18%
23%
59%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |