Bergedorf 85 vs Altona 93 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
41.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergedorf 85
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BER
0 - 3
HAL
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
GER
5 - 1
BER
62%
19%
20%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BER
1 - 4
BRA
57%
20%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
BER
27%
23%
51%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BER
0 - 1
RUG
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Altona 93
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 1
GER
48%
23%
30%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
ALT
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 3
BAR
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
RUG
1 - 1
ALT
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ALT
4 - 0
PAL
58%
21%
20%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |