Bergara KE vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergara KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BTG
0 - 3
BKE
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ALÑ
3 - 1
BKE
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BKE
0 - 2
ZAR
32%
25%
44%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ZUM
3 - 3
BKE
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BKE
2 - 0
URO
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TOL
1 - 0
AÑO
33%
26%
41%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TOL
2 - 1
DDO
38%
24%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
HER
0 - 2
TOL
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 0
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MUT
3 - 2
TOL
49%
24%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |