Bergara KE vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergara KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
RSO
11 - 1
BKE
84%
9%
6%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
AZK
2 - 6
BKE
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
BKE
5 - 1
TUD
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
EIB
4 - 0
BKE
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
BKE
4 - 2
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
TOL
1 - 2
LOG
69%
17%
15%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
AUR
3 - 1
TOL
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
TOL
5 - 0
AFT
85%
10%
6%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
BEA
1 - 0
TOL
60%
20%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
TOL
0 - 1
ELG
79%
13%
9%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |