Bergara KE Sub 19 vs Durango U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
18º
12º
16
14º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 74 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 65 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 63 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 41 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 40 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 38 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 26 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 24 |
18º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 43% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergara KE Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CDG
1 - 3
BER
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ATH
3 - 1
BER
79%
12%
9%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BER
3 - 0
ZAR
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BER
1 - 1
DAN
37%
23%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 3
BER
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Durango U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
DUR
0 - 2
ZAR
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
DAN
2 - 0
DUR
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DUR
1 - 0
ANT
14%
20%
67%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DUR
1 - 2
EIB
38%
24%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 3
DUR
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |