Bergara KE Sub 19 vs Beasain SD U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
39.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
18º
7º
34
7º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
34 | 34 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergara KE Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DEP
5 - 0
BER
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BER
0 - 3
REA
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
EIB
61%
19%
21%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 2
BER
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
HER
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Beasain SD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 0
ATH
12%
17%
72%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SDL
4 - 1
BEA
62%
19%
20%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 1
BEA
32%
23%
46%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 0
CDA
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BCF
1 - 6
BEA
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |