Bergara KE Sub 19 vs Athletic U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
64.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
7º
15º
11º
6
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
6 | 77 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 72 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 60 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 57 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 54 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 52 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 52 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 50 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 49 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 48 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 47 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 44 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 39 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 30 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 28 |
17º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 28 |
18º
|
24.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 71.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergara KE Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ZAR
3 - 1
BER
58%
21%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
EIB
2 - 1
BER
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BER
1 - 5
DAN
24%
21%
55%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
BER
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
BER
31%
23%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ATH
6 - 3
REA
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
REA
0 - 2
ATH
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
EIB
75%
14%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DAN
3 - 0
ATH
56%
21%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |