Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Bergantiños FC vs Villarrubia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
VRU
2 - 0
BER
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
BER
5 - 0
COV
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
COV
0 - 2
BER
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BER
0 - 1
ALO
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
BOI
1 - 3
BER
14%
21%
66%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Villarrubia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
VRU
2 - 0
BER
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
VRU
1 - 0
COR
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
VRU
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
VRU
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
VRU
4 - 1
CIU
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |