Bergantiños FC vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.2%
78.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
18.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BER
0 - 2
NAV
36%
28%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ADA
2 - 1
BER
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
BER
2 - 0
TUD
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BER
0 - 0
COX
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SEG
0 - 1
BER
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
RAY
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
RAY
1 - 0
ESP
42%
26%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
CDG
1 - 1
RAY
6%
16%
78%
|
81 | 42 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
VCF
1 - 1
RAY
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
RAY
3 - 1
MLL
54%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |