Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-7
Bergantiños FC vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
BER
1 - 0
EIB
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1987 |
RAY
3 - 2
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 0
BER
72%
21%
8%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
BER
1 - 1
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
BER
3 - 1
LAL
45%
27%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
RAY
1 - 2
GRA
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1987 |
RAY
3 - 2
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
HER
1 - 1
RAY
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
RAY
2 - 0
GAN
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
RAY
4 - 1
XER
64%
23%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |