Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Bergantiños FC vs Cirbonero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
BER
26%
25%
50%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
ALO
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 3
BER
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 1
BER
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BER
3 - 2
RIB
75%
17%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cirbonero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
BER
26%
25%
50%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BET
2 - 2
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
VAL
58%
22%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CDB
2 - 0
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 0
GAR
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |