Bergantiños FC vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 0
BER
60%
23%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BER
1 - 3
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ORD
0 - 0
BER
24%
26%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BER
2 - 0
ARO
36%
27%
38%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
BER
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
COM
23%
25%
51%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
DUB
3 - 4
CHO
40%
24%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
ASP
55%
23%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 1
CHO
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 1
ALO
48%
24%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |