Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-1
Bergantiños FC vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
BER
0 - 1
ARE
58%
25%
17%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
ARO
0 - 0
BER
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
RAC
1 - 2
BER
65%
23%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
ALO
0 - 1
BER
40%
29%
31%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
BER
2 - 1
CEL
61%
23%
15%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
LUG
2 - 0
ARO
77%
17%
6%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
ARO
0 - 0
BER
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
ARO
1 - 3
LAL
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
POR
3 - 1
ARO
25%
27%
49%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
ARO
0 - 1
COX
86%
11%
3%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | -1 |