Bergama Belediyespor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
11.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+87%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
9º
43
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergama Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AFK
4 - 0
BER
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BER
1 - 0
SGS
69%
16%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ANK
1 - 0
BER
60%
23%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BER
4 - 3
SUL
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 0
BER
30%
28%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TBP
0 - 1
AFK
36%
22%
43%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SGS
2 - 1
TBP
54%
20%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
FET
0 - 1
TBP
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TBP
1 - 0
ANK
16%
22%
62%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +4 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SUL
4 - 0
TBP
67%
19%
15%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |