Bergama Belediyespor vs Niğde Belediyesispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+285%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
7º
15º
7º
1
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 68 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 63 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 56 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 52 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 47 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 42 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 40 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 39 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 39 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 38 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 37 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 33 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 29 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 15 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
29.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergama Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ORD
3 - 1
BER
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
MBB
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DEN
3 - 1
BER
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
BER
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
BAL
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Niğde Belediyesispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NBS
1 - 1
EDI
13%
18%
69%
|
5 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NBS
2 - 5
ORD
14%
20%
66%
|
6 | 52 | 46 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MBB
2 - 1
NBS
84%
11%
5%
|
6 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
KBS
1 - 0
NBS
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |