Bergama Belediyespor vs Karsiyaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergama Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
ANK
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 1
BER
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NSG
3 - 3
BER
39%
28%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BER
1 - 3
KAH
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 2
BER
14%
22%
64%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Karsiyaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
KAR
0 - 1
BEL
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NSG
0 - 2
KAR
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
KIR
4 - 7
KAR
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
KAR
2 - 2
BEL
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
KAR
4 - 1
FET
32%
26%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +3 |