Bergama Belediyespor vs Fatsa Belediye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
5º
16º
11º
28
8º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 44 |
10º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
69.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
71% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
66% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 35 |
15º
|
59% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 29 |
17º
|
69% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergama Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NIG
1 - 1
BER
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 2
KAR
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
ANK
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 1
BER
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NSG
3 - 3
BER
39%
28%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fatsa Belediye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 0
SIO
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 1
YOM
39%
28%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BYC
1 - 1
FAT
66%
21%
14%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 0
SAP
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ELA
1 - 0
FAT
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |