Bergama Belediyespor vs Edirnespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
7º
15º
7º
1
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 68 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 63 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 56 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 52 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 47 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 42 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 40 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 39 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 39 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 38 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 37 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 33 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 29 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 15 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
29.5% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergama Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ORD
3 - 1
BER
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
MBB
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DEN
3 - 1
BER
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
BER
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
BAL
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Edirnespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NBS
1 - 1
EDI
13%
18%
69%
|
39 | 5 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EDI
0 - 2
KAH
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ORD
4 - 0
EDI
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AYV
1 - 0
EDI
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
EDI
1 - 1
MBB
49%
26%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |