Berg en Dal vs Wezel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
15º
16º
15º
7
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 28% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
45.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berg en Dal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BED
1 - 1
ELS
62%
20%
19%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RUH
2 - 4
BED
10%
13%
77%
|
46 | 11 | 35 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BED
5 - 2
JOD
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BED
3 - 1
ESP
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
BED
1 - 0
ROD
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wezel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KFC
2 - 1
WEZ
61%
19%
19%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
WEZ
1 - 1
KEW
77%
14%
9%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
WEZ
0 - 1
HEI
35%
22%
43%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LYR
1 - 1
WEZ
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
WEZ
1 - 3
KVV
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |