Berco vs Vila Meã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OSL
0 - 1
BSC
44%
23%
32%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
BSC
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BSC
2 - 1
JOA
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 0
SMA
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BSC
4 - 2
BRI
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 5
FEI
5%
12%
83%
|
21 | 68 | 47 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 0
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 3
AMA
25%
22%
54%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
TIR
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TRO
0 - 0
VIL
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |