Berco vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
FAF
0 - 1
BSC
77%
16%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
PEV
0 - 3
BSC
16%
18%
65%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BSC
3 - 2
SMA
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BSC
1 - 2
VIL
71%
16%
13%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -3 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VSC
4 - 1
BSC
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
TIR
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
PEV
5 - 0
TIR
27%
23%
51%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
TIR
1 - 3
FAF
24%
28%
48%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
TIR
2 - 3
OLI
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
0 - 5
TIR
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |