Berco vs Joane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 0
SMA
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BSC
4 - 2
BRI
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FEL
5 - 4
BSC
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 4
VSC
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -3 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
BSC
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
JOA
1 - 1
TAI
37%
24%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FEL
2 - 0
JOA
76%
16%
8%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
JOA
0 - 2
FAF
9%
19%
72%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
JOA
0 - 1
SPC
9%
18%
73%
|
18 | 57 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JOA
0 - 0
BAR
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |