Berchem Sport vs Racing Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
50.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
17º
14º
44
3º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 52 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
58% | |
|
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
82% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berchem Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HAD
1 - 0
BER
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BER
0 - 0
BOC
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DIE
3 - 1
BER
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BER
5 - 2
TUR
37%
24%
40%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BWI
1 - 4
BER
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RAC
5 - 2
BWI
78%
14%
7%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RCL
1 - 1
RAC
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 2
TUR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MEC
0 - 1
RAC
14%
18%
68%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 1
LON
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |