Berchem Sport vs Esperanza Pelt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
7º
14º
9º
3
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16.5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
15.5% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berchem Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
EEN
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 0
BER
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
MEC
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HAD
0 - 0
BER
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BER
3 - 5
BIN
28%
23%
48%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Esperanza Pelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
WEZ
2 - 2
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
HOU
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 0
TON
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 0
ESP
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DIK
2 - 1
ESP
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |